Lake Erie 
W-L: ( 3-10) PR = 85.5742
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
214 H Indianapolis GLVC ( 8- 5, 95.0) 5-12
221 H D'Youville ECC ( 7- 6, 89.6) 7- 8
227 A Lewis GLVC (13- 4, 97.6) 6-24
304 A Seton Hill GMAC (15- 3, 96.5) 3-14
307 H Thomas More GMAC ( 5- 9, 86.8) 10-16
310 H Davis & Elkins GMAC ( 1-12, 80.8) 12-11
314 H Wheeling GMAC ( 6- 7, 87.7) 7- 8
317 H Walsh GMAC ( 8- 9, 91.2) 7-13
325 A Roberts Wesleyan ECC ( 6- 7, 91.2) 7-13
401 A Northwood GMAC (10- 4, 92.7) 5-15
404 H Davenport GLVC ( 9- 7, 91.6) 9-20
411 A Malone GMAC ( 1-13, 83.3) 14-11
418 H Tiffin GMAC ( 4- 9, 85.3) 13- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 H Indianapolis 5-12 -7 -9 0.00
221 H D'Youville 7- 8 -1 -4 + 2.51
227 A Lewis 6-24 -18 -13 0.00
304 A Seton Hill 3-14 -11 -12 0.00
307 H Thomas More 10-16 -6 -1 -- -4.34
310 H Davis & Elkins 12-11 1 5 -- -4.00
314 H Wheeling 7- 8 -1 -2 0.63
317 H Walsh 7-13 -6 -5 0.00
325 A Roberts Wesleyan 7-13 -6 -6 0.00
401 A Northwood 5-15 -10 -8 0.00
404 H Davenport 9-20 -11 -5 0.00
411 A Malone 14-11 3 2 1.30
418 H Tiffin 13- 6 7 1 ++ 4.18
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 H Thomas More 10-16 -6 -1 -- -4.34
310 H Davis & Elkins 12-11 1 5 -- -4.00
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
418 H Tiffin 13- 6 7 1 ++ 4.18
221 H D'Youville 7- 8 -1 -4 + 2.51
|
Lake Erie PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Adams State |
Adams State |
|
 
| Adams State |
| Adelphi |
Adelphi |
|
Adelphi   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Alabama-Huntsville |
Alabama-Huntsville |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Alabama-Huntsville |
| American International |
Lake Erie |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Lake Erie |
| Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
|
 
| Anderson (SC) |
| Assumption |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Barton |
Barton |
|
 
| Barton |
| Belmont Abbey |
Belmont Abbey |
|
 
| Belmont Abbey |
| Bentley |
Bentley |
|
 
| Bentley |
| Bridgeport |
Bridgeport |
|
 
| Bridgeport |
| Caldwell |
Lake Erie |
|
 
| Lake Erie |
| Catawba |
Catawba |
|
 
| Catawba |
| Chestnut Hill |
Chestnut Hill |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Chestnut Hill |
| Chowan |
Chowan |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Chowan |
| Coker |
Coker |
|
 
| Coker |
| Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
| Concordia-Irvine |
Concordia-Irvine |
|
 
| Concordia-Irvine |
| D'Youville |
D'Youville |
D'Youville |
 
| |
| Davenport |
Davenport |
Davenport |
 
| |
| Davis & Elkins |
Lake Erie |
Lake Erie |
 
| |
| District of Columbia |
Lake Erie |
|
Lake Erie   1- 2 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Dominican (CA) |
Lake Erie |
|
 
| Lake Erie |
| Dominican (NY) |
Lake Erie |
|
 
| Lake Erie |
| Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Emmanuel (GA) |
Emmanuel (GA) |
|
 
| Emmanuel (GA) |
| Emory & Henry |
Lake Erie |
|
 
| Lake Erie |
| Felician |
Lake Erie |
|
Lake Erie   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Flagler |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
| Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
|
 
| Florida Southern |
| Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
|
 
| Florida Tech |
| Franklin Pierce |
Lake Erie |
|
 
| Lake Erie |
| Frostburg State |
Frostburg State |
|
Frostburg State   5- 2 vs 2- 5 |
|
| Georgian Court |
Georgian Court |
|
 
| Georgian Court |
| Holy Family |
Holy Family |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Holy Family |
| Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
 
| |
| Lander |
Lander |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Lander |
| Lees-McRae |
Lees-McRae |
|
 
| Lees-McRae |
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
|
 
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
| Lewis |
Lewis |
Lewis |
 
| |
| Limestone |
Limestone |
|
 
| Limestone |
| Lincoln Memorial |
Lincoln Memorial |
|
Lincoln Memorial   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Lynn |
Lynn |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Lynn |
| Malone |
Lake Erie |
Lake Erie |
 
| |
| Mars Hill |
Mars Hill |
|
 
| Mars Hill |
| Maryville |
Maryville |
|
Maryville   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Mercy |
Mercy |
|
Mercy   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Molloy |
Molloy |
|
Molloy   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Montevallo |
Montevallo |
|
 
| Montevallo |
| Mount Olive |
Mount Olive |
|
 
| Mount Olive |
| Newberry |
Newberry |
|
Newberry   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| North Greenville |
North Greenville |
|
 
| North Greenville |
| Northwood |
Northwood |
Northwood |
 
| |
| Pace |
Pace |
|
Pace   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Palm Beach Atlantic |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
|
 
| Palm Beach Atlantic |
| Post |
Post |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Post |
| Quincy |
Quincy |
|
tied -  0- 3 |
Quincy |
| Roberts Wesleyan |
Roberts Wesleyan |
Roberts Wesleyan |
 
| |
| Rockhurst |
Rockhurst |
|
Rockhurst   2- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Rollins |
Rollins |
|
Rollins   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
 
| |
| Shorter |
Lake Erie |
|
Lake Erie   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Southern New Hampshire |
Southern New Hampshire |
|
Southern New Hampshire   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| St Anselm |
St Anselm |
|
 
| St Anselm |
| St Leo |
St Leo |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
St Leo |
| St Michaels |
St Michaels |
|
St Michaels   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| St Thomas Aquinas |
St Thomas Aquinas |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
St Thomas Aquinas |
| Tampa |
Tampa |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Tampa |
| Thomas More |
Thomas More |
Thomas More |
 
| |
| Tiffin |
Lake Erie |
Lake Erie |
 
| |
| Tusculum |
Tusculum |
|
Tusculum   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Virginia State |
Lake Erie |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lake Erie |
| Walsh |
Walsh |
Walsh |
 
| |
| Westminster (UT) |
Westminster (UT) |
|
 
| Westminster (UT) |
| Wheeling |
Wheeling |
Wheeling |
 
| |
| William Jewell |
William Jewell |
|
tied -  2- 2 |
William Jewell |
| Wilmington (DE) |
Wilmington (DE) |
|
 
| Wilmington (DE) |
| Wingate |
Wingate |
|
 
| Wingate |
| Young Harris |
Young Harris |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Young Harris |
PairWisePlus = 13

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.71
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Indianapolis ( 8- 5, 95.0) 5-12 -4.93 17.01 -0.54 1.13 -6.19
0 H D'Youville ( 7- 6, 89.6) 7- 8 -10.27 11.67 -0.54 1.13 -12.23
0 A Lewis (13- 4, 97.6) 6-24 -2.29 19.66 0.54 1.13 -1.98
0 A Seton Hill (15- 3, 96.5) 3-14 -3.36 18.59 0.54 1.13 -3.19
0 H Thomas More ( 5- 9, 86.8) 10-16 -13.12 8.82 -0.54 1.13 -15.46
0 H Davis & Elkins ( 1-12, 80.8) 12-11 -19.08 2.86 -0.54 1.13 2.63
0 H Wheeling ( 6- 7, 87.7) 7- 8 -12.16 9.79 -0.54 1.13 -14.37
0 H Walsh ( 8- 9, 91.2) 7-13 -8.72 13.23 -0.54 1.13 -10.47
0 A Roberts Wesley ( 6- 7, 91.2) 7-13 -8.68 13.27 0.54 1.13 -9.21
0 A Northwood (10- 4, 92.7) 5-15 -7.19 14.75 0.54 1.13 -7.52
0 H Davenport ( 9- 7, 91.6) 9-20 -8.31 13.63 -0.54 1.13 -10.02
0 A Malone ( 1-13, 83.3) 14-11 -16.56 5.38 0.54 1.13 6.70
0 H Tiffin ( 4- 9, 85.3) 13- 6 -14.60 7.34 -0.54 1.13 7.69
------
-73.62
|
winning pts = 17.0175 losing points = -90.6337
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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