UPDATED: 04-03-26 10:21 PDT

men Lake Erie 2
  
Lake Erie             
W-L: ( 1- 8) PR = 84.2008

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Indianapolis GLVC ( 6- 3, 95.2) 5-12 221 H D'Youville ECC ( 6- 3, 89.8) 7- 8 227 A Lewis GLVC ( 8- 3, 96.7) 6-24 304 A Seton Hill GMAC ( 8- 2, 96.7) 3-14 307 H Thomas More GMAC ( 3- 6, 86.4) 10-16 310 H Davis & Elkins GMAC ( 1- 8, 80.5) 12-11 314 H Wheeling GMAC ( 3- 4, 87.5) 7- 8 317 H Walsh GMAC ( 4- 7, 90.8) 7-13 325 A Roberts Wesleyan ECC ( 3- 5, 89.2) 7-13 401 A Northwood GMAC ( 6- 2, 92.5) 404 H Davenport GLVC ( 5- 3, 91.9) 411 A Malone GMAC ( 1- 9, 84.0) 418 H Tiffin GMAC ( 4- 5, 86.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 H Indianapolis            5-12      -7   -11           0.00
   221 H D'Youville              7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.00
   227 A Lewis                   6-24     -18   -13           0.00
   304 A Seton Hill              3-14     -11   -13           0.00
   307 H Thomas More            10-16      -6    -2    -     -3.18
   310 H Davis & Elkins         12-11       1     4    -     -3.02
   314 H Wheeling                7- 8      -1    -3           1.97
   317 H Walsh                   7-13      -6    -6           0.00
   325 A Roberts Wesleyan        7-13      -6    -5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Thomas More            10-16      -6    -2    -     -3.18
   310 H Davis & Elkins         12-11       1     4    -     -3.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H D'Youville              7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.00

Lake Erie Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adams State Adams State   Adams State
Adelphi Adelphi Adelphi   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alabama-Huntsville
American International Lake Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Erie
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC)   Anderson (SC)
Assumption Assumption Assumption   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Barton Barton   Barton
Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey   Belmont Abbey
Bentley Bentley   Bentley
Bridgeport Bridgeport   Bridgeport
Caldwell Lake Erie   Lake Erie
Catawba Catawba   Catawba
Chestnut Hill Chestnut Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chestnut Hill
Chowan Chowan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chowan
Coker Coker   Coker
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Concordia-Irvine Concordia-Irvine   Concordia-Irvine
D'Youville D'Youville D'Youville  
Davenport Davenport Davenport   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Davis & Elkins Lake Erie Lake Erie  
District of Columbia Lake Erie tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lake Erie
Dominican (CA) Lake Erie   Lake Erie
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY)   Dominican (NY)
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Emmanuel (GA)   Emmanuel (GA)
Emory & Henry Lake Erie   Lake Erie
Felician Lake Erie insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Erie
Flagler Flagler   Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern   Florida Southern
Florida Tech Florida Tech   Florida Tech
Franklin Pierce Franklin Pierce   Franklin Pierce
Frostburg State Frostburg State Frostburg State   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Georgian Court Georgian Court   Georgian Court
Holy Family Holy Family tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Holy Family
Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis  
Lander Lander tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lander
Lees-McRae Lees-McRae   Lees-McRae
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne   Lenoir-Rhyne
Lewis Lewis Lewis  
Limestone Limestone   Limestone
Lincoln Memorial Lincoln Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lincoln Memorial
Lynn Lynn tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lynn
Malone Lake Erie tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Lake Erie
Mars Hill Mars Hill   Mars Hill
Maryville Maryville Maryville   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Molloy Molloy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Molloy
Montevallo Montevallo   Montevallo
Mount Olive Mount Olive   Mount Olive
Newberry Newberry insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Newberry
North Greenville North Greenville   North Greenville
Northwood Northwood Northwood   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Pace Pace insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic   Palm Beach Atlantic
Post Post   Post
Quincy Quincy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Quincy
Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan  
Rockhurst Rockhurst insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rockhurst
Rollins Rollins insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rollins
Seton Hill Seton Hill Seton Hill  
Shorter Lake Erie   Lake Erie
Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Southern New Hampshire
St Anselm St Anselm   St Anselm
St Leo St Leo tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Leo
St Michaels St Michaels St Michaels   3- 0 vs 0- 3
St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Thomas Aquinas
Tampa Tampa   Tampa
Thomas More Thomas More Thomas More  
Tiffin Tiffin tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Tiffin
Tusculum Tusculum insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tusculum
Virginia State Lake Erie tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lake Erie
Walsh Walsh Walsh  
Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT)   Westminster (UT)
Wheeling Wheeling Wheeling  
William Jewell William Jewell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) William Jewell
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE)   Wilmington (DE)
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Young Harris tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Young Harris

PowerWise = 10


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.19

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Indianapolis    ( 6- 3, 95.2)     5-12       -4.68      17.88      -0.36         1.02            -5.15
   0 H D'Youville      ( 6- 3, 89.8)     7- 8      -10.13      12.43      -0.36         1.02           -10.71
   0 A Lewis           ( 8- 3, 96.7)     6-24       -3.20      19.35       0.36         1.02            -2.90
   0 A Seton Hill      ( 8- 2, 96.7)     3-14       -3.17      19.39       0.36         1.02            -2.86
   0 H Thomas More     ( 3- 6, 86.4)    10-16      -13.52       9.03      -0.36         1.02           -14.18
   0 H Davis & Elkins  ( 1- 8, 80.5)    12-11      -19.36       3.19      -0.36         1.02             2.89
   0 H Wheeling        ( 3- 4, 87.5)     7- 8      -12.37      10.18      -0.36         1.02           -13.00
   0 H Walsh           ( 4- 7, 90.8)     7-13       -9.13      13.42      -0.36         1.02            -9.70
   0 A Roberts Wesley  ( 3- 5, 89.2)     7-13      -10.67      11.88       0.36         1.02           -10.52
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -66.12

winning pts = 2.8918 losing points = -69.0132

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------