UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men Lake Erie 2
  
Lake Erie             
W-L: ( 7- 7) PR = 88.1768

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 215 A Indianapolis GLVC ( 7- 8, 94.3) 3-13 222 A Lewis GLVC (12- 5, 95.1) 7-16 226 A D'Youville ECC ( 6- 8, 87.3) 6- 9 305 H Seton Hill GMAC (17- 1, 98.6) 5-13 308 A Thomas More GMAC ( 1-11, 83.0) 12- 8 311 A Wheeling GMAC ( 8- 7, 88.4) 9- 8 315 H Davis & Elkins GMAC ( 2-15, 79.7) 20- 3 318 A Walsh GMAC (10- 8, 89.9) 4-15 325 H Northwood GMAC ( 5- 9, 86.6) 17- 7 329 A Wilmington (DE) CACC (11- 4, 91.9) 6-13 412 H Malone GMAC ( 5-10, 84.9) 14-10 416 A Davenport GLVC ( 6- 9, 88.4) 8- 4 421 H Tiffin GMAC ( 3- 9, 84.3) 6- 3 430 H Walsh GMAC (10- 8, 89.9) 8-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Indianapolis            3-13     -10    -7           0.00
   222 A Lewis                   7-16      -9    -8           0.00
   226 A D'Youville              6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.28
   305 H Seton Hill              5-13      -8   -10           0.00
   308 A Thomas More            12- 8       4     5          -0.58
   311 A Wheeling                9- 8       1    -1           1.89
   315 H Davis & Elkins         20- 3      17     9           0.00
   318 A Walsh                   4-15     -11    -2    -     -2.67
   325 H Northwood              17- 7      10     2    +      2.80
   329 A Wilmington (DE)         6-13      -7    -4          -0.58
   412 H Malone                 14-10       4     4           0.08
   416 A Davenport               8- 4       4    -1    ++     4.85
   421 H Tiffin                  6- 3       3     5          -1.55
   430 H Walsh                   8-10      -2    -1          -0.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A D'Youville              6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.28
   318 A Walsh                   4-15     -11    -2    -     -2.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Davenport               8- 4       4    -1    ++     4.85
   325 H Northwood              17- 7      10     2    +      2.80

Lake Erie Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adams State Lake Erie   Lake Erie
Adelphi Adelphi   Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Alabama-Huntsville
American International Lake Erie   Lake Erie
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC)   Anderson (SC)
Assumption Assumption insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Assumption
Barton Barton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Barton
Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey   Belmont Abbey
Bentley Bentley   Bentley
Bridgeport Lake Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Erie
Caldwell Lake Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Erie
Catawba Catawba   Catawba
Chestnut Hill Chestnut Hill tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Chestnut Hill
Chowan Lake Erie   Lake Erie
Coker Coker   Coker
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Concordia-Irvine Concordia-Irvine   Concordia-Irvine
D'Youville D'Youville D'Youville  
Davenport Lake Erie Lake Erie  
Davis & Elkins Lake Erie Lake Erie  
District of Columbia Lake Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Erie
Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA)   Dominican (CA)
Dominican (NY) Lake Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Erie
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Emmanuel (GA) tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Emmanuel (GA)
Emory & Henry Lake Erie   Lake Erie
Felician Lake Erie tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Lake Erie
Flagler Flagler   Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern   Florida Southern
Florida Tech Florida Tech   Florida Tech
Franklin Pierce Franklin Pierce   Franklin Pierce
Frostburg State Frostburg State insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 3) Frostburg State
Georgian Court Georgian Court tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Georgian Court
Holy Family Lake Erie insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Lake Erie
Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis  
Lander Lander insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lander
Lees-McRae Lake Erie tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lake Erie
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lenoir-Rhyne
Lewis Lewis Lewis  
Limestone Limestone Limestone   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lincoln Memorial Lincoln Memorial tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lincoln Memorial
Lynn Lynn   Lynn
Malone Lake Erie Lake Erie  
Mars Hill Mars Hill tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Mars Hill
Maryville Maryville insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Maryville
Mercy Mercy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mercy
Molloy Molloy Molloy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Montevallo Montevallo Montevallo   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Mount Olive Mount Olive   Mount Olive
Newberry Newberry tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Newberry
North Greenville North Greenville   North Greenville
Northwood Lake Erie Lake Erie  
Pace Pace insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic   Palm Beach Atlantic
Post Post tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Post
Quincy Quincy tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Quincy
Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Roberts Wesleyan
Rockhurst Rockhurst Rockhurst   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Rollins Rollins   Rollins
Seton Hill Seton Hill Seton Hill  
Shorter Lake Erie insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Erie
Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire   Southern New Hampshire
St Anselm St Anselm   St Anselm
St Leo St Leo   St Leo
St Michaels St Michaels insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Michaels
St Thomas Aquinas Lake Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Erie
Tampa Tampa Tampa   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Thomas More Lake Erie Lake Erie  
Tiffin Lake Erie Lake Erie  
Tusculum Lake Erie tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lake Erie
Virginia State Lake Erie insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Lake Erie
Walsh Walsh Walsh  
Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT) tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Westminster (UT)
Wheeling Lake Erie Lake Erie  
William Jewell Lake Erie insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Lake Erie
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE)  
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Lake Erie   Lake Erie

PowerWise = 24


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Indianapolis    ( 7- 8, 94.3)     3-13       -5.55      19.54       0.64         1.04            -5.12
   0 A Lewis           (12- 5, 95.1)     7-16       -4.82      20.28       0.64         1.04            -4.35
   0 A D'Youville      ( 6- 8, 87.3)     6- 9      -12.65      12.45       0.64         1.04           -12.52
   0 H Seton Hill      (17- 1, 98.6)     5-13       -1.31      23.78      -0.64         1.04            -2.04
   0 A Thomas More     ( 1-11, 83.0)    12- 8      -16.95       8.15       0.64         1.04             9.17
   0 A Wheeling        ( 8- 7, 88.4)     9- 8      -11.47      13.62       0.64         1.04            14.88
   0 H Davis & Elkins  ( 2-15, 79.7)    20- 3      -20.22       4.88      -0.64         1.04             4.42
   0 A Walsh           (10- 8, 89.9)     4-15      -10.04      15.05       0.64         1.04            -9.80
   0 H Northwood       ( 5- 9, 86.6)    17- 7      -13.27      11.82      -0.64         1.04            11.66
   0 A Wilmington (DE  (11- 4, 91.9)     6-13       -7.95      17.14       0.64         1.04            -7.62
   0 H Malone          ( 5-10, 84.9)    14-10      -15.00      10.10      -0.64         1.04             9.87
   0 A Davenport       ( 6- 9, 88.4)     8- 4      -11.52      13.58       0.64         1.04            14.84
   0 H Tiffin          ( 3- 9, 84.3)     6- 3      -15.63       9.46      -0.64         1.04             9.20
   0 H Walsh           (10- 8, 89.9)     8-10      -10.04      15.05      -0.64         1.04           -11.15
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        21.42

winning pts = 74.0424 losing points = -52.6221

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------